Tuesday, May 1, 2012


I.                    Executive Summary


JWT Company, started by three partners, Megan Johnson, Erin Taylor, Carly Wells, recently invested $1,965,000 into a quaint village home right in the heart of Mendocino, CA. The multi-home can be easily found and is less than a mile off of Little Road exit on Hwy 1/Shoreline Hwy in northern California (wine country).  JWT Company plans to create the home into a profitable Bed and Breakfast, naming it the Mendocino Village Farm and Winery B&B. The home consists of three different and separate units (5 bedrooms, 3 baths) that all have a different unique characteristic about them. However, all rooms have a beautiful view of the Pacific coast.

The B&B target market is geared towards middle-aged couples and individuals traveling for the day from San Fransisco area, as well as, honeymooners and tourists visiting on vacation. They have an average income of $75,000 or more and work in a professional business setting.

The property in located in the village square of Mendocino where the population growth has been pretty slow over the last decade.  However, one of the main reasons for this is that it is a “hot spot” for tourists to visit, so the demand for hotel and B&B stay has increased with the wine industry growth.  Our competition will include the local hotels, motels, and other B&B in the wine country.  However, we see opportunities and strengths in our fabulous location, our built in unique winery, and large plot of land.

The way we plan to leverage our home is with a 40% down payment of $786,000, and the remaining 60% will be paid in debt over a 30 year loan.  Our NPV of this investment comes out to $170,170.74 with a 6.79% IRR.


II.                    Background of the Company:


The JWT Company began in 2012 as a partnership between three friends, Megan Johnson, Erin Taylor, and Carly Wells, whose parents had grown up taking annual trips to the “Wine Country” in California.  Each year their parents would return telling them of how one day, they should start a Bed and Breakfast (B&B) somewhere in the wine country and get involved with the wine industry.  Megan, Erin, and Carly decided to make this dream come true.  They will invest into a local home in Mendocino, California that was previously used as a local home for a family as well as a small winery that makes about four barrels of wine per year.  They hope to differentiate their B&B service by having this small winery included where guests can, not only experience the wine country, but learn how to make the wine as well. Megan, Carly, and Erin’s new company recently purchased this home and are in the process of making it into a profitable, B&B investment.

They plan to employ the following people: a chef, wine professional, three yard groomers, and two maids.  However, some of these services are only needed on a limited time basis.  For example, the yard groomers only come once a week in the spring and summer, and rarely in the winter. 

Though it is a small company, JWT is looking forward to growing this investment and making it into a lifelong career by becoming expertise in the field of B&B and wine making.



III.                    Property Description:



Mendocino Village Farm and Winery Bed & Breakfast has three residences on a large .7-acre parcel in the Heart of Mendocino Village. 3/1.5 Victorian Home, 2/1 Watertower residence. 1/1 Charming apartment, Ocean Views from most rooms. In addition to the residences is a working home winery, makes four barrels a year, crusher/stemmer, press and stone lined underground cellar, root cellar, wood shed, two car garage, second laundry, storage, barn/workshop, chicken coop, sheds, pond with fish and critters, veggie and flower gardens, large lawn and large pasture. All very private, though in town. Walk to restaurants, markets, galleries, theater, the kids can run for ice cream cone and enjoy the state parks that surround Mendocino. From Village Farm there is access to Big River, the beach and 100 miles of hiking/biking trails. 
See blue market for location of home.
Wine Cellar in the home
No. Units: 3
Building Size: 4,000 SF
Price/Unit: $650,000
Rooms: 5 bedrooms/ 3 baths

Signage:
Our company plans to pay for a billboard on Highway 1/ Shoreline Hwy advertising and B&B where to exit.  We will   also have a sign in our front yard labelled “The Mendocino Village Farm and Winery B&B”.

Access:
There is front drive way access to our home right off a main street in Mendocino Village.  It is 3 minutes off the main Hwy 1, and you only take 3 short neighbourhood streets before you arrive at our property 44874 Pine St.

Ingress/Egress:
It is on a .7 acre privately-owned lot that does not share any type of driveway or land with an adjoining neighbour. As mentioned earlier, the house has a driveway that you access which faces the front of the home on Pine Street.

Visibility:
The home can be seen from Pine Street Road.  It would not be difficult to find if you were a tourist coming off of Hwy 1.

III. Market Analysis:

Area Analysis Summary:

Location: In northern California, the city of Mendocino is located in Mendocino Country.  Mendocino County is one of the top 4 places to visit in the wine country, along with Napa Valley, Sonoma, and Lake County.  The house is specifically located in Mendocino Village, which is a small historic town on a one mile square peninsula in the Pacific, 153 miles North of San Francisco.

District: Mendocino Unified School District

This school district has a 100% Full Credentials for teachers, and a 17 student average per classroom.  They rank higher than 50% for every class 2nd through 12th grade.  This is an exceptional school district. More specifically, the property is located in the Mendocino High School and Mendocino K-8 School district which has 5 star ratings according to the website below.


See the following website for more statistics: http://www.greatschools.org/cgi-bin/ca/district-profile/369

Zoning: Appropriately zoned for a B&B use. See below.

Parcel Number: 119-150-2200
Coastal Zone
Local Coast Plan:
Urban Coastal
Base Zoning District:
MRM
Coastal Plan Classification:
RM
Minimum Parcel Size:
12K

 The property is located in the zoning code: MRM. See map below:




Here are some of the following demographics found in Mendocino, California:

2010 Population Growth and Population Statistics
Mendocino, CA
Total Population
841
Square Miles
5.51
Population Density
152.60
Population Change Since 1990
-0.59%
Population Change Since 2000
2.06%
Forecasted Population Change by 2014
1.43%
Population Male
 46.49%
Population Female
53.51% 

2010 Employment by Job Type for Civilian Population (Age 16+)
Mendocino, CA
White Collar
83.38%
Blue Collar
16.62%
Management, Business, and Financial Operations
24.54%
Professional and Related
24.07%
Sales and Office
22.22%
Service
15.05%
Construction, Extraction, and Maintenance
6.02%
Production, Transportation, and Material Moving
8.10%
2010 Population by Age
Mendocino, CA
Median Age
52.80
Age 0 to 5
24
2.85%
Age 6 to 11
43
5.11%
Age 12 to 17
63
7.49%
Age 18 to 24
30
3.57%
Age 25 to 34
55
6.54%
Age 35 to 44
76
9.04%
Age 45 to 54
167
19.86%
Age 55 to 64
193
22.95%
Age 65 to 74
95
11.30%
Age 75 to 84
76
9.04%
Age 85+
19
2.26%



2010 Population by Race and Ethnicity
Mendocino, CA
White
799
95.01%
Black or African American
2
0.24%
American Indian and Alaska Native
6
0.71%
Asian
11
1.31%
Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander
0
0.00%
Other
23
2.73%
Population Hispanic
38
4.52%
































2010 Homeowner Statistics and Home Values
Mendocino, CA
Owner Occupied Units
320
Owner Households, With Mortgage Any
179
55.94%
Owner Households, With No Mortgage
141
44.06%
Housing, Median Value Owner Households
$498,780
Valued $40,000-$59,999
1
0.31%
Valued $60,000-$79,999
1
0.31%
Valued $80,000-$99,999
1
0.31%
Valued $100,000-$124,999
1
0.31%
Valued $125,000-$149,999
1
0.31%
Valued $150,000-$174,999
2
0.62%
Valued $175,000-$199,999
2
0.62%
Valued $200,000-$249,999
2
0.62%
Valued $250,000-$299,999
17
5.31%
Valued $300,000-$399,999
51
15.94%
Valued $400,000-$499,999
82
25.62%
Valued $500,000-$749,999
107
33.44%
Valued $750,000-$999,999
24
7.50%
Valued More than $1,000,000
28
8.75%































2010 Household Income Statistics
Mendocino, CA
Total Area Household Income
$32,336,260
Median Household Income
$61,806
Average Household Income
$76,626
Per Capita Household Income
$38,450
Income Less than $15,000
59
13.98%
Income $15,000 to $24,999
35
8.29%
Income $25,000 to $34,999
33
7.82%
Income $35,000 to $49,999
50
11.85%
Income $50,000 to $74,999
72
17.06%
Income $75,000 to $99,999
83
19.67%
Income $100,000 to $124,999
41
9.72%
Income $125,000 to $149,999
15
3.55%
Income $150,000 to $199,999
18
4.27%
Income $200,000 and Over
16
3.79%











































 Property Analysis:

Accessibility:
Front driveway access. Neighbors are all less than one block from each other.  Less than 3 minute drive after exiting from Hwy 1/Shoreline Hwy.  Ocean can be seen from almost every window in the home.

Directions after exiting CA-1 North-Hwy:
1. Turn left onto Little Lake Road              
2. Take the first left on School Street     
3. Take first left on Pine Street
Arrive at destination: 44875 Pine Street

Surrounding Neighborhood Land Use:
Neighborhood with similar size homes as the B&B as well as a baseball field located one block away.  This property is located in Mendocino Village which is a small historic town on a one mile square peninsula in the Pacific.

Growth Path:
Neighborhood: Slow growth.
District: Slow growth.
Community: Mendocino is not known to have extreme growth rates, and has grown relatively slowly over the past decade.  However, they have a constant growth in the wine tourism industry over the last decade which has caused an increase the need to B&B and hotels for visitors.  This property is located in a place of high demand for tourists to stay while in the wine country.

Proximity to Environmental Considerations:
The following issues should be considered: water pollution, air pollution, mercury pollution, and earthquakes.

Target Market:
The target markets are people looking for a vacation destination, “honeymooners”, and drop-in customers. This includes many professional married and single customers making the trip to enjoy the beautiful coast of California and visit wineries.  Located right off the main highway 101, there will be a sign that will lead the wine tourists right to the village farm’s location.  Not only does this village farm serve as a place to stay for the tourists, but it also has a built in small winery where they can learn the ins and outs of making their very own wine for when they leave.
       Geographics
  • Our immediate geographic market is the San Francisco Bay area with a population of over one million people.
  • A 200-mile geographic area would want to use the kind of services we offer.
  • The total target area population is estimated at two million people.
      Demographics
  • Male and female.
  • Married and single.
  • Combined annual income in excess of $75,000.
  •  Age range of 25 to 65 years. with a median age of 40.
  • Work in a professional business setting.


Basic Employers:
Barry Cusick
Realtor and homeowner
Mendo Realty
(707) 937-5822 


Other B&B Rental Prices and Comparables:

1. Sea Rock Inn
11101 Lansing St.
P.O. Box 906
Mendocino, CA 95460

Rates for Cottage #1 (Basic): $299 double occupancy rate, add $20 each additional per person
Amenities
At the cliff side Sea Rock Inn, we seek to provide you with everything you need to have a splendid Mendocino getaway.
On Site:
  • Spectacular ocean views from every room and/or deck
  • Lovely garden benches for whale watching
  • Cliff side benches for enjoying the beautiful sunsets
  • Property wide Wireless Internet access
  • Off street parking
  • Sumptuous breakfast served buffet style
  • Complimentary Husch wine upon arrival
  • Massage and sauna rooms.























2. Agate Cove Inn
   11201 N. Lansing St.
   Mendocino, CA 95460

Price: Amber Room(Basic): $279/night

Amenities:
Spectacular ocean views: This is the best ocean front view on the Mendocino Coast.
  • Breakfast: We offer homemade muffins, scones or bread to compliment our legendary full course breakfast.  Our breakfast room features restaurant style seating with the most stunning white water ocean view on the North Coast.
  • Private Cottages: Eight of our 10 rooms are private cottages.  All rooms have private baths (most with spa tubs) and private exterior entrances. All rooms have fireplaces, decks, refrigerators, microwaves, robes, coffee makers, sherry, HBO and WiFi.
  • Beautiful Gardens: The colorful coastal gardens feature, fountains, the hammock for two, ocean view hot tub, love seat swing and  Adirondack chairs for a front row seat to watch the sunset over the Pacific.
  • Concierge Service: We can help plan your visit to Mendocino. We have an innkeeper on site for 12 hours every day to help you with your plans.


































Demand:
We have a cyclical season with our peak season in the Spring and Summer months (March-September) and lowest troughs during the winter.  Starting in February is when we will do the most promoting for our business through advertising in the newspapers, magazines, social networks, etc.  We also have a economic cycle we must keep in mind.  Vacations are one of the first areas to be cut in people’s lives when there is a recession.  Therefore, if the economy is in a recession, the B&B industry in the wine country can expect a hit. However, when looking at the chart below you can also see the rapid growth the wine industry has had in California.  As these new wineries opens up, it is directly correlated with other areas of the tourism industry like restaurants, hotels, and Bed and Breakfasts.  As the wine industry continues to boom, it attracts more and more customers which is good for our property and it’s revenues.
When looking at other B&B in Mendocino and checking their availability, I found that there are usually 1-2 rooms available in a 5-6 bedroom home during busy season.  I would assume that during the winter months you could find 3-4 rooms available out of a 5-6 bedroom home.
Year
California Bonded Wineries
2000
1,450
2001
1,562
2002
1704
2003
1,869
2004
2,059
2005
2,275
2006
2,447
2007
2,687
2008
2,843
2009
2,972
2010
3,364
















Supply:
There are 21 total B&B in the Mendocino area that we will compete with year round. Not only will we need to worry about our current B&B competitors, but we will also need to be ready for new B&B to enter the market.  In addition, there are also hotels and motels in which people will stay that we need to keep in mind. California is America’s top wine producer making 90% of all their wine, and is also the world’s fourth leading wine producer after France, Italy, and Spain. There are currently 3,540 bonded wineries (Up 108% from 1,704 wineries in 1992), and they are nearly all family owned businesses.  With this rapid growth in the supply of wineries, we can expect a continual increase in the supply of hotels, motels, and B&B as well.
Permit Needed to Have B&B: Business Permit (Applications offered in the Ukiah office).They will review proposal between 1-30 days.

Timing/Economy:
Inflation is expected to remain a little above or below the latest average of 2% inflation.  Interest rates will remain low at 0-.25%.

SWOT Analysis
The following SWOT analysis captures the key strength and weaknesses within the company and describe the opportunities and threats facing The Mendocino Village Farm and Winery Bed & Breakfast

      Strengths
  • Great location.
  • Fantastic facility
  • Differentiation strategy with small winery included
  • Quaint, family feel that tourists are drawn to in the wine country
  • Wireless Internet
  • Beach view from all windows
  • Located in the heart of Mendocino Village
  • Great chef on staff daily

    Weaknesses
  • Brand visibility
  • Limited number of rooms means limited amount of sales.
  • The struggle with taking care of everything with low labor overhead.


    Opportunities
  • Growing market with a significant percentage still not aware of The Mendocino Village Farm and Winery Bed & Breakfast
  •  Placing a billboard on Highway 1 will raise awareness from customers
  • The ability to become more efficient as the learning curve steepens over time
  • Baby boomers (main customers) are traveling more and more in retirement

   Threats
  • Competition from new B&B entrants
  • The introduction of a B&B-style hotel that understands the basic market need
  • An economic recession decreasing people's discretionary income

IV.         Financial Analysis:


Acquisition Cost:        $1,965,000
Amortization period:      30
Payments Per Year:      12
Interest rate:                 5%
Loan-to-Value:            1,179,000/1,965,000=60%
Discount points:            2%
Holding Period:            10
Selling costs:                $2,738,400
“Going In” cap rate:      11.8%
“Residual” cap rate:      15%
PGI grew at                 6%/yr
OI grew                       1.5%/yr
VCL                            5% of PGI
OE                              30% of PGI and grew at 1.5%/yr






NPV: $175,170.74 
IRR: 6.79%
OER: 25.4%












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